Expected goals (xG) are an advanced football metric that measures the probability of a shot on goal from a specific position and under specific conditions resulting in a goal. It quantifies the quality of a scoring opportunity.
Why are expected goals (xG) important?
xG revolutionizes match analysis by allowing coaches and analysts to evaluate the true quality of scoring chances regardless of the actual outcome. This helps to objectively assess the performance of a team or player, identify over- or underperformance, and better understand attacking efficiency and defensive robustness. It shows whether a team creates many good chances but fails to convert them, or if it scores many goals from few poor chances.
How zone14 REPLAY Helps You Analyze:
Although zone14 REPLAY does not directly calculate xG, you can analyze in detail the elements that xG models consider. Use the panoramic view and drawing tools to mark shot positions, defensive pressure, and passing options before the shot. With tagging, you can categorize all created chances (e.g., by shot position, assist type) to prepare the quality of your scoring chances for later xG modeling or discuss them visually with your players.